inria-00000859, version 1
Artificial Agents and Speculative Bubbles
Yann Semet
1Sylvain Gelly
1Marc Schoenauer
1Michèle Sebag
1
Computational Finance and its Applications (2004) 35-44
Résumé : Pertaining to Agent-based Computational Economics (ACE), this work presents two models for the rise and downfall of speculative bubbles through an exchange price fixing based on double auction mechanisms. The first model is based on a finite time horizon context, where the expected dividends decrease along time. The second model follows the {\em greater fool} hypothesis; the agent behaviour depends on the comparison of the estimated risk with the greater fool's. Simulations shed some light on the influent parameters and the necessary conditions for the apparition of speculative bubbles in an asset market within the considered framework.
- 1 : TAO (INRIA Futurs)
- INRIA – CNRS : UMR8623 – Université Paris XI - Paris Sud
- Domaine : Informatique/Intelligence artificielle
- inria-00000859, version 1
- http://hal.inria.fr/inria-00000859
- oai:hal.inria.fr:inria-00000859
- Contributeur : Marc Schoenauer
- Soumis le : Lundi 28 Novembre 2005, 14:25:18
- Dernière modification le : Lundi 28 Novembre 2005, 14:29:52






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