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hal-00696435, version 1

BIC selection procedures in mixed effects models

Maud Delattre 12, Marc Lavielle 12, Marie-Anne Poursat 12

N° RR-7948 (2012)

Résumé : We consider the problem of variable selection in general nonlinear mixed-e ets models, including mixed-e ects hidden Markov models. These models are used extensively in the study of repeated measurements and longitudinal analysis. We propose a Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) that is appropriate for nonstandard situations where both the number of subjects N and the number of measurements per subject n tend to in nity. In this case, the consistency rates of the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the parameters depend on the level of variability designed in the model. We show that the MLE of the population parameters related to subject-speci c parameters are \sqrt(N)-consistent whereas the MLE of the parameters related to xed parameters are \sqrt(Nn)-consistent. We derive a BIC criterion with a penalty based on two terms proportional to log(N) and log(Nn). Finite-sample properties of the proposed selection procedure are investigated by simulation studies.

  • 1 :  POPIX (INRIA Saclay - Ile de France)
  • INRIA
  • 2 :  Departement de Maths Université Paris Sud (DPT MATHS)
  • Université Paris XI - Paris Sud
  • Domaine : Mathématiques/Statistiques
    Statistiques/Théorie
  • Mots-clés : Consistency rate – Nonlinear mixed model – Hidden Markov mixed-effects model – Variable selection
  • Référence interne : RR-7948
 
  • hal-00696435, version 1
  • oai:hal.inria.fr:hal-00696435
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  • Soumis le : Vendredi 11 Mai 2012, 16:41:57
  • Dernière modification le : Samedi 12 Mai 2012, 09:16:11