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Prediction of Process Time for Early Production Planning Purposes

Abstract : The production ramp-up process is critical to stay competitive and to capture market share but there are some common problems encountered during ramp-up. Among others one problem is related to the maturity of the production processes, including unforeseen bottlenecks. This paper contributes to the production planning part of the ramp-up process by showing how to predict the process time for new parts that is to be introduced in an existing manufacturing environment. A statistical model based on historical product-data is applied and the potential advantages of the model are outlined.
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Mads Bejlegaard, Thomas Brunoe, Kjeld Nielsen. Prediction of Process Time for Early Production Planning Purposes. IFIP International Conference on Advances in Production Management Systems (APMS), Sep 2015, Tokyo, Japan. pp.406-413, ⟨10.1007/978-3-319-22756-6_50⟩. ⟨hal-01417520⟩

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