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Estimation of lifetime reproductive success when reproductive status cannot always be assessed

Lauriane Rouan 1 Jean-Michel Gaillard 2 Yann Guédon 3, 4, 5 Roger Pradel 1
2 Biodémographie évolutive
Département écologie évolutive [LBBE]
3 VIRTUAL PLANTS - Modeling plant morphogenesis at different scales, from genes to phenotype
CRISAM - Inria Sophia Antipolis - Méditerranée , INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, UMR AGAP - Amélioration génétique et adaptation des plantes méditerranéennes et tropicales
Abstract : The Lifetime Reproductive Success (LRS) of an individual i.e. the number of young raised during its lifespan is an indicator of its contribution t o future generations and thus a measure of fitness. Nevertheless, the LRS is hard to estimate because of the difficulty to keep track of the outcome of each breed- ing attempt (successful or failed and, if successful, number of young raised). We propose two new methods to estimating the LRS that takes into account the uncertainty about the reproductive status when the individuals are not de- tected or when the reproductive status cannot be assessed. We illustrate these two methods using roe deer reproductive histories and discuss their advantages and disadvantages.
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Lauriane Rouan, Jean-Michel Gaillard, Yann Guédon, Roger Pradel. Estimation of lifetime reproductive success when reproductive status cannot always be assessed. Thomson, D. L.; Cooch, E. G.; Conroy, M. J. Modeling Demographic Processes in Marked Populations, 3, Springer, pp.867-879, 2009, Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 978-0-387-78151-8. ⟨10.1007/978-0-387-78151-8_40⟩. ⟨hal-00831798⟩

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