Skip to Main content Skip to Navigation
Journal articles

Conflict probability estimation between aircraft with dynamic importance splitting

Damien Jacquemart 1, 2 Jérôme Morio 1 
2 ASPI - Applications of interacting particle systems to statistics
IRMAR - Institut de Recherche Mathématique de Rennes, Inria Rennes – Bretagne Atlantique
Abstract : In this article, conflict probability between aircraft in uncontrolled airspace is estimated. For that purpose, one reviews how to characterize aircraft trajectories with stochastic processes. Indeed, Markov chain model enables us to simulate aircraft trajectories. Conflict probabilities can be estimated with Monte Carlo simulations. Nevertheless, since Monte Carlo methods are not efficient to estimate small probabilities, one proposes the use of the important splitting method. This algorithm is applied on realistic situations of aircraft conflict.
Document type :
Journal articles
Complete list of metadata

https://hal.inria.fr/hal-00911787
Contributor : Francois Le Gland Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Friday, November 29, 2013 - 8:04:52 PM
Last modification on : Friday, May 20, 2022 - 9:04:52 AM

Identifiers

Citation

Damien Jacquemart, Jérôme Morio. Conflict probability estimation between aircraft with dynamic importance splitting. Safety Science, Elsevier, 2013, 51 (1), pp.94-100. ⟨10.1016/j.ssci.2012.05.010⟩. ⟨hal-00911787⟩

Share

Metrics

Record views

207