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Rapport (Rapport De Recherche) Année : 2016

Spatio-Temporal Predictability of Cellular Data Traffic

Résumé

The ability to foresee the data traffic activity of subscribers opens new opportunities to reshape mobile network management and services. In this paper, we leverage two large-scale real-world datasets collected by a major mobile carrier in Mexico to study how predictable are the cellular data traffic demands generated by individual users. We first focus on the predictability of mobile traffic consumption patterns in isolation. Our results show that it is possible to anticipate the individual demand with a typical accuracy of 85%, and reveal that this percentage is consistent across all user types. Despite the heterogeneity in usage patterns of users, we also find a lack of significant variability in predictability when considering demographic factors or different mobility or mobile service usage. Then, we analyze the joint predictability of the traffic demands and mobility patterns. We find that the two dimensions are correlated, which improves the predictability upper bound to 90% on average.
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Dates et versions

hal-01393361 , version 1 (07-11-2016)
hal-01393361 , version 2 (31-01-2017)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-01393361 , version 1

Citer

Guangshuo Chen, Sahar Hoteit, Aline Carneiro Viana, Marco Fiore, Carlos Sarraute. Spatio-Temporal Predictability of Cellular Data Traffic. [Research Report] RT-0483, INRIA Saclay - Ile-de-France. 2016, pp.17. ⟨hal-01393361v1⟩
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