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Assessing the Risk and Return of Financial Trading Systems - a Large Deviation Approach

Abstract : We apply large deviation theory to assess the probability that a trading system performs below or above a certain threshold. Our technique does not require that the distribution of the performance criterion obeys a closed-form equation, and can accept as input empirical distributions given under the form of frequency histograms obtained by backtesting or from prior use of the trading system. A nice property of the technique is that it can be easily automated and integrated into a trading platform. Furthermore, the approach is not limited to a single trading system but can be applied on portfolio of trading systems.
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https://hal.inria.fr/inria-00168274
Contributor : Nicolas Navet Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Monday, August 27, 2007 - 10:38:39 AM
Last modification on : Friday, February 4, 2022 - 3:29:51 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Friday, April 9, 2010 - 1:10:19 AM

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Nicolas Navet, René Schott. Assessing the Risk and Return of Financial Trading Systems - a Large Deviation Approach. 6th International Conference on Computational Intelligence in Economics and Finance - CIEF 2007, Jul 2007, Salt-Lake City, United States. pp.508-514, ⟨10.1142/9789812709677_0074⟩. ⟨inria-00168274⟩

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