Abstract : We propose an intelligent approach to gasoline price forecasting as an alternative to the statistical and econometric approaches typically applied in the literature. The linear nature of the statistics and Econometrics models assume normal distribution for input data which makes it unsuitable for forecasting nonlinear, and volatile gasoline price. Karhunen-Loève Transform and Network for Vector Quantization (KLNVQ) is proposed to build a model for the forecasting of gasoline prices. Experimental findings indicated that the proposed KLNVQ outperforms Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, multiple linear regression, and vector autoregression model. The KLNVQ model constitutes an alternative to the forecasting of gasoline prices and the method has added to methods propose in the literature. Accurate forecasting of gasoline price has implication for the formulation of policies that can help deviate from the hardship of gasoline shortage.
David Hutchison; Takeo Kanade; Bernhard Steffen; Demetri Terzopoulos; Doug Tygar; Gerhard Weikum; Linawati; Made Sudiana Mahendra; Erich J. Neuhold; A Min Tjoa; Ilsun You; Josef Kittler; Jon M. Kleinberg; Alfred Kobsa; Friedemann Mattern; John C. Mitchell; Moni Naor; Oscar Nierstrasz; C. Pandu Rangan. 2nd Information and Communication Technology - EurAsia Conference (ICT-EurAsia), Apr 2014, Bali, Indonesia. Springer, Lecture Notes in Computer Science, LNCS-8407, pp.257-266, 2014, Information and Communication Technology. 〈10.1007/978-3-642-55032-4_25〉
https://hal.inria.fr/hal-01397204
Contributeur : Hal Ifip
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Soumis le : mardi 15 novembre 2016 - 15:37:56
Dernière modification le : mercredi 16 novembre 2016 - 01:04:11
Document(s) archivé(s) le : jeudi 16 mars 2017 - 16:36:09
Haruna Chiroma, Sameem Abdulkareem, Adamu Abubakar, Eka Sari, Tutut Herawan. A Novel Approach to Gasoline Price Forecasting Based on Karhunen-Loève Transform and Network for Vector Quantization with Voronoid Polyhedral. David Hutchison; Takeo Kanade; Bernhard Steffen; Demetri Terzopoulos; Doug Tygar; Gerhard Weikum; Linawati; Made Sudiana Mahendra; Erich J. Neuhold; A Min Tjoa; Ilsun You; Josef Kittler; Jon M. Kleinberg; Alfred Kobsa; Friedemann Mattern; John C. Mitchell; Moni Naor; Oscar Nierstrasz; C. Pandu Rangan. 2nd Information and Communication Technology - EurAsia Conference (ICT-EurAsia), Apr 2014, Bali, Indonesia. Springer, Lecture Notes in Computer Science, LNCS-8407, pp.257-266, 2014, Information and Communication Technology. 〈10.1007/978-3-642-55032-4_25〉. 〈hal-01397204〉
