Skip to Main content Skip to Navigation
Conference papers

Estimating the Probability of Earthquake Magnitude Between Mw = 4 and Mw = 5 for Turkey

Abstract : Earthquake is a type of disaster that occurs suddenly in different magnitudes. When magnitude of an earthquake increases it is expected that the effects are much more. Earthquakes in varying magnitude between 4 Mw and 5 Mw cause uneasiness among the public even if they do not cause heavy damage. The aim of this study is to estimate the probability of an earthquake between 4.0 and 5.0 by using artificial neural network model. Monthly real data between 2006 and 2015 is used for the model. Data is analyzed in MATLAB neural network tool, then estimated output value obtained via analysis and output of test value is compared with regression equation. Besides, seasonal effects on magnitude of earthquake are examined. Results show that 90.51% of the earthquake probability between 4.0 and 5.0 can be estimated by using artificial neural network model.
Document type :
Conference papers
Complete list of metadata

Cited literature [41 references]  Display  Hide  Download

https://hal.inria.fr/hal-02280325
Contributor : Hal Ifip <>
Submitted on : Friday, September 6, 2019 - 11:30:34 AM
Last modification on : Friday, September 6, 2019 - 11:42:48 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Thursday, February 6, 2020 - 3:57:43 PM

File

 Restricted access
To satisfy the distribution rights of the publisher, the document is embargoed until : 2022-01-01

Please log in to resquest access to the document

Licence


Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

Identifiers

Citation

Türkay Dereli, Cihan Çetinkaya, Nazmiye Çelik. Estimating the Probability of Earthquake Magnitude Between Mw = 4 and Mw = 5 for Turkey. 2nd International Conference on Information Technology in Disaster Risk Reduction (ITDRR), Oct 2017, Sofia, Bulgaria. pp.96-107, ⟨10.1007/978-3-030-18293-9_9⟩. ⟨hal-02280325⟩

Share

Metrics

Record views

55