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Un modèle markovien de transition agraire

Fabien Campillo 1 Angelo Raherinirina 2 Rivo Rakotozafy 2 
1 MERE - Water Resource Modeling
CRISAM - Inria Sophia Antipolis - Méditerranée , INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique : UMR0729
Abstract : We present a Markov model for agricultural successions with 4 states. The application of Markov models to agricultural succession problems is not new, but relatively new tools of numerical Bayesian inference allow us to test general prior laws. I addition to the maximum likelihood estimate, we consider the Jeffreys prior (non-informative), and calculate the associated Bayesian estimator with a Metropolis-Hastings approximation procedure. We study the capabilities and limitations of this approach.
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  • HAL Id : inria-00506392, version 1
  • PRODINRA : 35807

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Fabien Campillo, Angelo Raherinirina, Rivo Rakotozafy. Un modèle markovien de transition agraire. International African Conference on Research in Computer Science and Applied mathematics, Oct 2008, Rabat, Maroc. pp.101-108. ⟨inria-00506392⟩

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